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Red65
396622.6
348925.8
146633.1
Blue73
496522.8
621925.0
28129.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84732040601001201406573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.0
32.631.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.0
End4.6
red by 4.1
281
#21
29.00.0
28.228.3
Auto8.1
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Second
3489
#48
25.81.0
24.323.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End4.7
red by 0.8
6219
#38
25.00.1
23.823.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Third
3966
#28
22.61.0
23.222.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 0.2
4965
#34
22.80.0
20.320.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed