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Red107
198655.1
191231.2
54718.4
Blue109
261439.0
402034.5
398424.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089150150200107109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.1
55.054.9
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
red by 16.1
39.01.2
35.736.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
Second
1912
#35
31.20.1
31.131.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
blue by 3.4
4020
#15
34.51.2
31.933.1
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End7.3
Third
547
#37
18.40.1
16.716.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End0.8
blue by 6.4
3984
#31
24.72.0
23.425.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed