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Red124
453327.4
382449.7
496522.8
Blue93
28129.0
285627.4
405034.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969005015020012493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.8
49.451.1
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End6.7
red by 15.1
4050
#13
34.60.3
34.334.6
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End4.9
Second
4533
#22
27.41.8
22.824.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
blue by 1.7
281
#21
29.00.3
28.328.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Third
4965
#34
22.81.8
20.322.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.8
End3.4
blue by 4.5
2856
#14
27.40.5
25.526.0
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed