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Red99
426531.6
398424.7
191231.2
Blue80
146633.1
171028.8
463024.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88864060801001201409980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.6
28.529.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 1.5
33.10.2
31.631.4
Auto11.5
Teleop17.0
End4.6
Second
1912
#35
31.20.6
31.031.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
red by 2.4
1710
#24
28.80.4
29.829.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Third
3984
#31
24.70.9
25.426.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End5.7
red by 0.3
4630
#20
24.40.4
22.221.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed