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Red149
248155.1
500221.2
146633.1
Blue85
518623.8
610520.0
239341.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11476406010014016018014985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.6
53.454.0
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
red by 13.5
2393
#12
41.60.4
39.940.2
Auto8.1
Teleop28.3
End5.3
Second
33.10.6
31.432.0
Auto11.5
Teleop17.0
End4.6
red by 9.4
5186
#36
23.80.5
21.922.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Third
5002
#42
21.20.6
20.320.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.8
End5.4
red by 1.3
6105
#45
20.00.5
17.818.3
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed