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Red104
426531.6
314030.3
395935.9
Blue117
396622.6
28329.6
261439.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100864060120140160104117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.6
37.237.8
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
blue by 3.2
39.02.1
37.139.2
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
Second
31.60.6
29.129.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 2.0
283
#30
29.62.1
25.928.0
Auto4.3
Teleop20.3
End5.0
Third
3140
#11
30.30.6
28.929.5
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
red by 7.6
3966
#28
22.62.1
22.424.5
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned