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Red90
500517.3
171028.8
178534.7
Blue99
325923.8
239341.6
463024.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769140601001201409099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#18
34.70.6
33.534.1
Auto12.8
Teleop14.8
End7.1
blue by 6.9
2393
#12
41.60.9
40.241.1
Auto8.1
Teleop28.3
End5.3
Second
1710
#24
28.80.9
29.430.3
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 4.4
4630
#20
24.41.2
23.324.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
5005
#47
17.30.9
13.113.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End1.9
blue by 6.5
3259
#29
23.81.3
22.423.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed