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Red103
261439.0
502227.1
474024.3
Blue86
610520.0
146633.1
319321.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956940608012014016010386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.7
39.239.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
red by 5.9
33.10.7
32.032.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.0
End4.6
Second
5022
#16
27.10.7
26.527.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End4.4
red by 5.8
3193
#43
21.40.7
20.721.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
4740
#40
24.30.9
22.523.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
red by 4.3
6105
#45
20.00.9
18.319.2
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed