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Red80
542318.1
430623.0
54718.4
Blue74
264115.2
285627.4
496522.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586602040801001208074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4306
#23
23.00.6
22.423.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End3.2
blue by 4.4
2856
#14
27.41.0
26.427.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Second
547
#37
18.40.6
18.018.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End0.8
blue by 4.5
4965
#34
22.80.7
22.122.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Third
5423
#32
18.10.6
17.518.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 2.9
2641
#49
15.20.7
14.515.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed