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Red103
426428.4
453327.4
500517.3
Blue84
191231.2
171028.8
34219.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638720408010012014010384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4264
#19
28.43.4
26.129.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
blue by 2.8
1912
#35
31.20.2
31.731.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Second
4533
#22
27.42.5
24.827.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
blue by 1.4
1710
#24
28.80.3
30.330.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Third
5005
#47
17.33.4
13.917.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End1.9
blue by 2.1
342
#46
19.40.2
19.319.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed