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Red80
384316.2
398424.7
393746.6
Blue77
446234.0
325923.8
574418.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9873204060801201401608077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.8
48.948.1
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 12.6
4462
#10
34.00.2
32.933.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Second
3984
#31
24.71.1
25.824.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End5.7
red by 0.9
3259
#29
23.80.2
23.723.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Third
3843
#44
16.21.1
17.316.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 2.3
5744
#27
18.50.2
18.318.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed