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Red80
621925.0
500221.2
450429.3
Blue125
297323.7
198655.1
426531.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691172040608010014016018080125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4504
#17
29.30.4
29.029.3
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End5.7
blue by 25.8
55.11.2
54.755.9
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
Second
6219
#38
25.00.5
24.525.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.2
End3.5
blue by 6.6
31.61.2
29.730.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
5002
#42
21.20.4
20.921.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.8
End5.4
blue by 2.4
2973
#26
23.71.2
22.523.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsEarned