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Semifinal 1-22016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red175
198655.1
261439.0
426428.4
Blue117
384434.7
395935.9
402034.5
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152129050100200250300175117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#2
55.10.2
55.2→55.3
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
red by 19.2
3959
#6
35.90.3
36.2→35.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
2614
#1
39.00.2
39.1→39.3
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End6.4
red by 4.3
3844
#7
34.70.4
35.1→34.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Third
4264
#19
28.40.2
28.5→28.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
blue by 6.1
4020
#15
34.50.3
34.9→34.5
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End7.3