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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red161
384434.7
395935.9
402034.5
Blue140
239341.6
146633.1
28329.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13312350100150200161140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#6
35.90.1
35.9→36.1
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
blue by 5.8
2393
#12
41.60.4
41.1→41.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.3
End5.3
Second
3844
#7
34.70.2
34.8→34.9
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
red by 1.6
1466
#8
33.10.4
32.6→33.0
Auto11.5
Teleop17.0
End4.6
Third
4020
#15
34.50.1
34.6→34.7
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End7.3
red by 4.9
283
#30
29.60.4
29.1→29.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.3
End5.0