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Semifinal 2-12016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red155
248155.1
382449.7
474024.3
Blue138
446234.0
426531.6
348925.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15910250200250155138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#4
55.10.2
53.6→53.9
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
red by 21.1
4462
#10
34.00.1
33.2→33.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Second
3824
#3
49.70.2
48.2→48.5
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End6.7
red by 18.1
4265
#9
31.60.1
31.0→31.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
4740
#40
24.30.3
22.5→22.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
blue by 1.5
3489
#48
25.80.1
25.2→25.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End4.7