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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Dallas Regional
Red154
129640.5
300537.2
419223.3
Blue106
524224.8
335521.6
541123.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13970050100150200154106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#4
40.50.1
41.6→41.7
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End6.2
red by 15.7
5242
#14
24.80.5
24.0→24.5
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Second
3005
#2
37.20.1
38.4→38.5
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End5.0
red by 13.7
5411
#17
23.60.5
22.8→23.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Third
4192
#16
23.30.1
24.5→24.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
red by 1.7
3355
#11
21.60.5
20.8→21.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7