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Semifinal 2-32016 Dallas Regional
Red96
129640.5
300537.2
419223.3
Blue110
347826.5
541721.7
543130.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1348305010015020096110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#4
40.50.6
41.1→40.5
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End6.2
red by 10.1
5431
#18
30.40.1
29.8→29.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Second
3005
#2
37.20.6
37.8→37.2
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End5.0
red by 10.7
3478
#12
26.50.1
26.0→26.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.9
End6.0
Third
4192
#16
23.30.7
23.9→23.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
red by 1.5
5417
#10
21.70.1
21.6→21.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End3.0