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Quarterfinal 4-32016 Dallas Regional
Red100
545428.3
543734.8
436416.4
Blue129
347826.5
541721.7
543130.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10186050150100129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.1
34.934.8
Auto11.2
Teleop20.1
End3.5
red by 4.4
5431
#18
30.40.6
29.029.6
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Second
28.30.1
28.428.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.9
red by 1.8
3478
#12
26.50.5
25.325.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.9
End6.0
Third
4364
#33
16.40.1
16.516.4
Auto7.7
Teleop6.4
End2.4
blue by 5.3
5417
#10
21.70.5
20.821.4
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End3.0