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Red185
14860.8
284837.7
505717.1
Blue102
347826.5
541721.7
543130.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15080050100200250185102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
60.80.5
60.561.0
Auto14.9
Teleop35.8
End10.1
red by 30.4
5431
#18
30.40.1
29.930.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Second
37.70.5
37.437.8
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End6.2
red by 11.1
3478
#12
26.50.1
26.126.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.9
End6.0
Third
5057
#28
17.10.5
16.817.3
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 4.6
5417
#10
21.70.1
21.621.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End3.0