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Red154
14860.8
284837.7
505717.1
Blue112
347826.5
373521.0
543130.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15277050100200250154112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
60.80.2
61.060.8
Auto14.9
Teleop35.8
End10.1
red by 30.4
5431
#18
30.40.4
30.030.4
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Second
37.70.2
37.837.7
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End6.2
red by 11.1
3478
#12
26.50.3
26.226.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.9
End6.0
Third
5057
#28
17.10.2
17.317.1
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 3.8
3735
#19
21.00.3
20.621.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End3.8