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Red87
129640.5
543734.8
335521.6
Blue52
545428.3
261313.4
623514.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805202040601001201408752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.2
30.932.1
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End6.2
red by 12.2
28.32.0
28.926.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.9
Second
34.81.1
31.532.5
Auto11.2
Teleop20.1
End3.5
red by 19.9
6235
#26
14.92.5
12.510.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Third
3355
#11
21.61.5
11.513.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
red by 8.1
2613
#27
13.42.5
13.110.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed