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Qual 122016 Dallas Regional
Red37
529715.1
43786.0
174524.3
Blue34
335010.5
505717.1
373521.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063020801001201403734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1745
#15
24.30.6
14.5→13.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 3.3
3735
#19
21.02.1
21.9→19.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Second
5297
#37
15.10.6
14.3→13.7
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
blue by 2.0
5057
#28
17.12.7
20.1→17.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Third
4378
#40
6.00.6
13.5→12.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 4.5
3350
#36
10.52.7
16.0→13.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed