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Qual 262016 Dallas Regional
Red147
14860.8
186028.6
623514.9
Blue50
335521.6
337013.7
617127.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8842020608010012014014750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
60.82.8
53.4→56.3
Auto14.9
Teleop35.8
End10.1
red by 33.0
6171
#24
27.80.2
19.7→19.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Second
1860
#8
28.64.3
17.8→22.1
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
red by 7.1
3355
#11
21.60.2
13.8→14.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Third
6235
#26
14.94.3
7.4→11.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.6
red by 1.3
3370
#39
13.70.2
14.4→14.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed