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Red62
347826.5
50477.6
38323.4
Blue10
30379.7
261313.4
335521.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71460204060801001206210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#12
26.50.2
27.126.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.9
End6.0
red by 5.0
3355
#11
21.64.3
15.711.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Second
383
#34
23.40.3
20.520.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 10.0
2613
#27
13.44.3
17.413.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Third
5047
#41
7.60.3
17.317.0
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End-0.5
blue by 2.1
3037
#43DQ
9.74.3
15.210.9
Auto0.3
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed