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Red36
43786.0
419223.3
186028.6
Blue81
577521.2
541123.6
300537.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47710204060801001201403681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.5
18.216.8
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
blue by 8.6
37.21.5
32.934.3
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End5.0
Second
4192
#16
23.31.5
16.014.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 0.3
5411
#17
23.61.7
18.019.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Third
4378
#40
6.01.5
15.013.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 15.2
21.21.7
15.016.7
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed