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Red79
284837.7
617127.8
505717.1
Blue61
613316.4
380227.9
543130.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61622040801007961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.9
25.627.5
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End6.2
red by 7.3
5431
#18
30.40.4
24.724.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Second
6171
#24
27.811.1
28.917.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Level
27.90.4
19.719.2
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End5.0
Third
5057
#28
17.12.2
17.920.1
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End2.0
red by 0.7
6133
#31
16.44.3
19.515.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed