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Red126
407617.0
524224.8
14860.8
Blue67
284837.7
436416.4
38323.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037340608012014016012667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
60.82.0
54.656.6
Auto14.9
Teleop35.8
End10.1
red by 23.1
37.70.6
32.532.0
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End6.2
Second
5242
#14
24.83.3
22.926.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
red by 1.4
383
#34
23.40.9
25.024.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
4076
#29
17.03.3
18.421.8
Auto6.9
Teleop7.8
End2.3
red by 0.6
4364
#33
16.40.9
17.816.8
Auto7.7
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed