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Red66
461016.3
568220.0
337013.7
Blue47
43786.0
541123.6
38323.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475602040801006647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5682
#23
20.01.8
18.420.1
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 3.6
5411
#17
23.60.6
22.822.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Second
4610
#30
16.31.8
15.717.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 7.1
383
#34
23.40.6
24.123.5
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
3370
#39
13.71.8
13.315.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.5
red by 7.7
4378
#40
6.00.6
6.45.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed