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Qual 602016 Dallas Regional
Red64
464114.9
328210.7
129640.5
Blue101
186028.6
380227.9
335521.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718120406010012014016064101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#4
40.50.4
41.5→41.1
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End6.2
red by 11.9
1860
#8
28.61.3
29.7→31.0
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Second
4641
#42
14.90.6
16.2→15.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.8
blue by 13.0
3802
#6
27.91.3
28.5→29.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End5.0
Third
3282
#38
10.70.6
12.8→12.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.4
blue by 10.9
3355
#11
21.61.3
19.0→20.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed