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Red32
261313.4
613316.4
530722.2
Blue114
14860.8
367624.3
529715.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52109010015032114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5307
#21
22.22.6
25.322.7
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End5.1
blue by 38.6
148
#3
60.80.2
57.557.3
Auto14.9
Teleop35.8
End10.1
Second
6133
#31
16.42.6
19.216.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End2.6
blue by 7.9
3676
#13
24.30.3
22.922.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End6.3
Third
2613
#27
13.42.6
14.712.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End1.8
blue by 1.7
5297
#37
15.10.3
17.116.8
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed