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Red67
43786.0
617127.8
70419.3
Blue46
541721.7
464114.9
261313.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495101001502006746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6171
#24
27.81.5
25.927.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
red by 6.1
5417
#10
21.70.2
20.620.4
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End3.0
Second
704
#32
19.31.2
18.019.2
Auto1.6
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 4.4
4641
#42
14.90.3
15.214.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.8
Third
4378
#40
6.01.5
4.56.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 7.4
2613
#27
13.40.3
13.713.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
7%Breach oddsMissed16%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed