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Red74
430016.5
367624.3
186028.6
Blue111
284837.7
543734.8
582018.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68902040608010012014074111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
29.529.8
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
blue by 9.0
37.71.4
34.736.1
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End6.2
Second
3676
#13
24.30.4
23.924.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End6.3
blue by 10.5
34.81.4
33.134.5
Auto11.2
Teleop20.1
End3.5
Third
4300
#35
16.50.4
16.116.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 2.0
5820
#22
18.51.8
16.718.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned