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Semifinal 1-12016 Dallas Regional
Red197
14860.8
284837.7
505717.1
Blue57
613316.4
577521.2
617127.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15160010020025019757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
60.80.7
59.8→60.5
Auto14.9
Teleop35.8
End10.1
red by 33.0
6171
#24
27.80.4
28.1→27.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Second
2848
#1
37.70.7
36.7→37.3
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End6.2
red by 16.4
5775
#9
21.20.4
21.5→21.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Third
5057
#28
17.10.7
16.0→16.8
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End2.0
red by 0.7
6133
#31
16.40.4
16.7→16.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End2.6