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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Lone Star Regional
Red109
147733.9
142131.1
164221.9
Blue142
384729.7
215835.8
235230.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10812450150200109142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#9
33.90.1
34.0→33.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End5.3
blue by 1.8
2158
#6
35.80.0
36.1→36.1
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
1421
#4
31.10.1
31.2→31.1
Auto8.1
Teleop17.7
End5.4
red by 0.6
2352
#20
30.50.0
30.8→30.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.5
End3.9
Third
1642
#29
21.90.1
22.0→21.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 7.8
3847
#17
29.70.0
30.1→30.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End5.2