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Semifinal 2-22016 Lone Star Regional
Red149
543131.4
23338.1
5725.0
Blue152
62435.0
23134.8
582922.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191166080100140160180149152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#2
38.10.0
38.3→38.3
Auto12.6
Teleop18.3
End7.2
red by 3.0
624
#26
35.00.2
35.0→35.2
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Second
5431
#14
31.40.0
31.6→31.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.5
End4.6
blue by 3.5
231
#3
34.80.2
34.8→35.0
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.5
Third
57
#24
25.00.0
25.3→25.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End2.7
red by 2.2
5829
#16
22.80.2
22.8→23.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6