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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Lone Star Regional
Red125
62435.0
23134.8
582922.8
Blue144
463926.9
399132.2
258731.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411690100110120130140150125144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#26
35.00.3
34.6→34.9
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
red by 2.9
3991
#7
32.20.1
33.0→33.1
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
Second
231
#3
34.80.3
34.4→34.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.5
red by 3.1
2587
#32
31.70.1
32.5→32.6
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Third
5829
#16
22.80.3
22.4→22.7
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 4.1
4639
#28
26.90.1
27.7→27.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5