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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Lone Star Regional
Red123
62435.0
23134.8
582922.8
Blue101
463926.9
399132.2
258731.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511790100110120130140150123101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#26
35.00.2
34.9→35.1
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
red by 2.9
3991
#7
32.20.3
33.1→32.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
Second
231
#3
34.80.2
34.7→34.9
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.5
red by 3.1
2587
#32
31.70.3
32.6→32.4
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Third
5829
#16
22.80.2
22.7→22.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 4.1
4639
#28
26.90.3
27.8→27.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5