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Qual 112016 Lone Star Regional
Red50
399723.3
44113.6
507013.4
Blue56
324016.3
147733.9
288129.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498502040601001201401605056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3997
#63
23.30.9
21.2→20.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End3.2
blue by 10.7
1477
#9
33.91.4
33.0→31.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End5.3
Second
441
#53
13.60.9
16.4→15.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
blue by 15.4
2881
#40
29.02.1
28.9→26.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End9.6
Third
5070
#51DQ
13.40.9
15.5→14.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 2.8
3240
#46
16.32.4
15.9→13.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed