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Red49
550317.1
589213.7
295015.9
Blue64
208020.6
590816.1
433615.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375402060801004964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5503
#49
17.11.2
12.513.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End5.4
blue by 3.5
2080
#19
20.61.1
19.720.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
2950
#37
15.90.8
11.712.4
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.5
blue by 0.2
5908
#59
16.11.6
13.815.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
Third
5892
#60
13.70.9
14.215.0
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
blue by 1.9
4336
#58
15.51.6
16.017.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed