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Qual 232016 Lone Star Regional
Red99
23134.8
324016.3
384729.7
Blue60
617320.6
463926.9
461018.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions854802040601001201401609960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#3
34.81.5
36.5→38.0
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.5
red by 7.9
4639
#28
26.90.7
19.8→20.5
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
Second
3847
#17
29.71.1
28.5→29.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End5.2
red by 9.2
6173
#43DQ
20.60.9
14.1→15.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Third
3240
#46
16.31.9
11.9→13.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End2.8
blue by 2.6
4610
#25
18.80.5
18.0→18.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed