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Red27
590816.1
619624.8
556610.5
Blue127
62435.0
399932.5
288226.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35104020608012014016027127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6196
#27
24.81.9
19.217.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.7
End6.5
blue by 10.3
624
#26
35.00.1
37.837.8
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Second
5908
#59
16.11.9
15.413.5
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 16.4
3999
#34
32.50.1
33.333.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
Third
5566
#66
10.51.9
9.37.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 15.7
2882
#12
26.20.1
19.819.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned