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Red102
541628.7
288129.0
295015.9
Blue45
609515.4
258220.6
373523.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6858020408010012014010245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#40
29.01.4
27.729.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End9.6
red by 5.8
3735
#33
23.20.8
22.121.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End4.2
Second
5416
#23
28.71.9
24.526.5
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End4.4
red by 8.1
2582
#56
20.61.4
21.520.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.9
Third
2950
#37
15.91.2
12.413.6
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.5
red by 0.4
6095
#54
15.41.4
14.012.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed