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Red65
354520.5
541424.8
258731.7
Blue85
399132.2
235230.5
623520.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778240601001206585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#32
31.70.7
30.029.3
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
blue by 0.5
32.20.4
30.530.9
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
Second
5414
#35
24.80.9
24.223.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 5.7
2352
#20
30.50.4
31.632.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.5
End3.9
Third
3545
#36
20.51.2
21.620.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End3.3
red by 0.3
6235
#31
20.20.4
16.917.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed