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Qual 302016 Lone Star Regional
Red84
458743.2
415520.4
310325.5
Blue90
23338.1
542724.5
526120.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807002040601001201401608490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#5
43.20.6
36.9→37.5
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End3.6
red by 5.1
233
#2
38.11.3
32.6→33.9
Auto12.6
Teleop18.3
End7.2
Second
3103
#21
25.50.6
21.3→22.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
red by 1.0
5427
#18
24.52.2
19.9→22.1
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Third
4155
#42
20.40.9
18.0→18.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 0.2
5261
#50
20.62.2
17.4→19.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed