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Qual 342016 Lone Star Regional
Red85
541628.7
142131.1
23134.8
Blue58
354520.5
288129.0
432812.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026202040801201401608558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#3
34.81.1
38.0→36.9
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.5
red by 5.8
2881
#40
29.01.0
29.1→28.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End9.6
Second
1421
#4
31.10.9
28.9→28.0
Auto8.1
Teleop17.7
End5.4
red by 10.6
3545
#36
20.51.4
20.4→19.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End3.3
Third
5416
#23
28.71.5
26.5→25.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End4.4
red by 16.2
4328
#55
12.61.4
16.4→14.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed