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Red91
258220.6
384729.7
415520.4
Blue77
399723.3
623520.2
215835.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70752040601001209177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#17
29.70.5
29.630.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End5.2
blue by 6.0
35.80.4
33.933.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
2582
#56
20.60.8
20.120.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.9
blue by 2.6
3997
#63
23.30.6
21.220.6
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Third
4155
#42
20.40.8
18.819.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 0.2
6235
#31
20.20.4
17.316.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed