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Red37
589213.7
61809.7
464117.9
Blue71
374120.8
461018.8
541628.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396702060801001203771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4641
#47
17.90.3
18.117.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 10.8
5416
#23
28.71.2
25.326.4
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End4.4
Second
5892
#60
13.70.3
13.312.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
blue by 7.1
3741
#22
20.81.2
17.718.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End4.5
Third
6180
#61
9.70.6
10.710.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End1.9
blue by 9.1
4610
#25
18.80.7
17.618.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
11%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed