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Red54
383413.1
333525.2
125519.9
Blue100
62435.0
324016.3
310325.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5472020408010012014054100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#15
25.20.1
22.922.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 9.9
624
#26
35.01.5
32.133.6
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Second
1255
#64
19.90.1
19.819.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
blue by 5.6
3103
#21
25.51.5
21.923.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
Third
3834
#65
13.10.2
12.712.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 3.1
3240
#46
16.32.5
13.616.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed