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Red98
374324.5
23338.1
261319.3
Blue81
399132.2
435521.2
288226.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7174204060801001209881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#2
38.11.9
35.237.1
Auto12.6
Teleop18.3
End7.2
red by 5.9
32.20.6
30.831.4
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
Second
3743
#10
24.53.2
17.921.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 1.7
2882
#12
26.21.0
23.524.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.5
Third
2613
#13
19.31.9
16.318.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
blue by 1.9
4355
#45
21.20.6
17.418.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed