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Red60
541424.8
295015.9
324016.3
Blue79
613319.5
432812.6
258731.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55602040801006079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#35
24.80.4
24.424.7
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 6.9
2587
#32
31.71.1
30.431.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Second
3240
#46
16.30.6
16.116.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End2.8
blue by 3.2
19.51.1
17.218.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
2950
#37
15.90.4
14.014.3
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.5
red by 3.3
4328
#55
12.61.8
10.011.8
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed